Can I take advantage of higher US interest rates?

I have a dedicated non-registered account in my retirement portfolio that is the cash cushion for VPW’s decumulation strategy. You can read about the details of how I currently get paid in retirement here.

That non-registered account holds about 85% Canadian dollars, invested in ZMMK, with the remaining 15% invested in ICSH. Both of these ETFs are very short-term bond funds and give me a slight advantage over investing in zero-risk HISAs. ZMMK and ICSH are part of my ETF all-stars lineup, and I track HISA rates on a monthly basis.

The fact is that US interest rates are a lot higher than Canadian interest rates, almost 2% higher as of July 2025. It seems to me that I should take advantage of that fact. Taking advantage of this situation would mean selling some ZMMK, performing Norbert’s Gambit with the resultant cash, and then buying ICSH. There are costs involved at every step of the way1:

  • Selling ZMMK means I’ll get dinged with the bid/ask spread2
  • Performing Norbert’s Gambit costs $9.95 plus HST on Questrade to do the necessary journaling
  • There will be bid/ask spreads to pull off the Gambit…once when buying DLR, once when selling DLR.U
  • Buying ICSH means another bid/ask spread

So at what point is it worth it? Let’s do a bit of math using the following assumptions:

  • The delta between US and Canadian rates is 1.8% in favor of the US rate. That’s an annual rate, and I’ll just divide by 12 to get a monthly rate3.
  • The bid/ask spread for DLR per the ETF fact sheet is 0.1% on the CAD side and 0.07% on the USD side
  • The bid/ask spread for ZMMK is 0.02% per its fact sheet
  • …and the bid/ask spread for ICSH is 0.02% as well per its fact sheet
  • No change in the FX rate for the duration of this exercise4
  • No fees to trade DLR, DLR.U, ZMMK or ICSH5

So for various amounts, the time to profitability6 of doing the Gambit looks like this.

$ CAD changedJournaling Fee7DLR Spread Fee8ZMMK/ICSH spreadTotal costTTP9
$1k$12$1.70$0.40$14.10~10 months
$10k$12$17.10$4$33.10~10 weeks
$100k$12$170$40$222~6 weeks

So clearly, for amounts around $1k this isn’t such an attractive proposition as the costs will take a fair bit of time to be negated by the bump in interest rates. For larger amounts, I’d say it’s worth it. Given ZMMK hasn’t yet paid out its dividend for the month, I guess I’ll wait until I’m ex-dividend (July 30, 2025, per the fact sheet) before doing this transaction.

  1. I’m also ignoring the tax on any capital gains I might pull off. It will be quite small, and will be close to 0. ↩︎
  2. Bid/ask spread is the difference between what the price holders are willing to sell at versus the price offered by a buyer. For ZMMK this is typically 1 cent. ↩︎
  3. Whether this delta continues to hold is anybody’s guess. ↩︎
  4. Which, admittedly, has no hope of being correct. If you do this sort of thing frequently enough, it ought to even out over time. ↩︎
  5. This is true at Questrade. YMMV with your broker. ↩︎
  6. Henceforth “TTP”, naturally ↩︎
  7. Adding HST and rounding ↩︎
  8. Buying DLR is 0.1% and selling it is 0.07% ↩︎
  9. Investing all holdings at 1.8% annual rate of return ↩︎

Give more to charities, less to the CRA

It’s probably not news to most of you that charitable giving in Canada attracts tax breaks that reduce your tax owing to the CRA. It’s a nice deal — support the causes that are meaningful to you while saving a bit of tax owed.

But for those of you with non-registered accounts holding stocks and ETFs, did you know there’s even a better option that can save you even more tax? By donating shares in-kind to your chosen charity, you get the same donation credit AND you avoid paying capital gains tax on the shares donated!

The differences can be sizeable depending on the unrealized capital gains you have in your portfolio.

Here’s a quick example: let’s say I bought $10,000 of XGRO1 5 years ago in my non-registered account. Per this dividend calculator featured in “Tools I Use” I see that it’s currently2 worth $15,850.

Say I want to donate $1000 to a charity — selling $1000 of XGRO today would generate a capital gain of $369. That’s taxable at 22.48% marginal rate in Ontario in 20253, so I have to pay an additional $83 in taxes4.

If I instead donate the shares in kind to the charity, I pay nothing on the capital gain, and I keep $83 either for me, or for additional charitable works.

So how do you do this? Well, it will depend on the online broker you deal with, but generally the steps are something like:

  • Let the charity know you’re intending to do this. Larger charities will have a published process, for example the Ottawa Food Bank’s is here5. Smaller charities can still benefit if you use a service like CanadaHelps6.
  • Let your broker know your intent. Every broker will have a different process, usually including some kind of form. Here’s some examples I found:7

And that’s it. The receiving charity will issue a donation receipt reflecting the market value of the donated securities for your tax filing. The nullification of the capital gain is done using form T11708 when it comes time to file your taxes.

I plan to do this more systematically for the charities I support; it’s admittedly a bit more effort than automated contributions. Since Questrade (my current broker) charges me $25 every time I do this, I’ll have to be a bit more strategic about amounts and timing.

  1. XGRO is a significant part of my portfolio, and as such it is included in my ETF all-stars page. What is also true is that I don’t hold much of it in my non-registered portfolio, but that’s just a historical investing habits showing up. ↩︎
  2. 5 year return, WITHOUT dividends reinvested as of July 17, 2025. Not reinvesting the dividends means my cost base is clearly $10k, useful for the example that follows. ↩︎
  3. Per https://www.taxtips.ca/taxrates/on.htm for taxable income between $114k and $150k. Don’t forget that capital gains are only taxed at 50% of the value of the gain. ↩︎
  4. Ignoring the tax savings generated by the charitable donation in the first place since that’s the same in both scenarios. ↩︎
  5. Googling “donate securities” <charity name> is helpful ↩︎
  6. They do keep a portion of the donation to offset their expenses, so it may not be a good idea for small donations. ↩︎
  7. Sorry Scotia iTrade users, I did my best but could not find their form. Let me know if it’s available somewhere and I’ll update. I’ve successfully used the process with both BMO and QTrade. ↩︎
  8. i’m not an accountant. Consult a professional if you have concerns. ↩︎

TD versus iShares: XEQT/XGRO/XBAL versus TEQT/TGRO/TBAL

My post talking about BMO’s fee reduction for their asset allocation family enticed me to revisit competitive asset allocation funds. TD’s low-low fees (0.17% versus the 0.20% of iShares) are tempting.

So, quick sanity check — what’s the historical performance of XGRO versus TGRO?12

Per https://www.canadastockchannel.com/compound-returns-calculator/ (featured in Tools I Use) I see:

What? The TD fund has returned a full 2 percentage points better? This is a bit hard to believe. They must be rather different somehow?

Ah, yes. Revisiting their respective fund pages reveals that TGRO has a lower allocation for bonds — it’s only 10% versus the 20% for XGRO. More bonds will definitely lower return as a reward for lower volatility (I showed that effect here), so that probably explains the difference.

XGRO versus TGRO: Asset Allocation

So comparing the returns of XGRO versus TGRO wasn’t an apples to apples comparison. I could instead measure the relative returns of XBAL versus TBAL since the equity/bond ratios of these two are equivalent (both at 60% equity, 40% bonds)3. There are, however, some minor differences in the equity side of the equation:

XBAL versus TBAL: Asset Allocation

TBAL has a higher weighting in Canadian equity at the expense of some International equity, let’s see how that translates in the overall return:

That’s a lot closer, but the advantage still tilts TBAL’s way, which is another positive argument for considering it.

I am curious about how different these two are under the hood.

The first obvious difference is that they use different market indexes to build their portfolios, summarized below:

TGRO/TBALXGRO/XBAL
CAD EquitySolactive Canada Broad Market IndexS&P®/TSX® Capped Composite Index
US EquitySolactive US Large Cap CAD IndexS&P Total Market Index
Int’l EquitySolactive GBS Developed Markets ex North America Large & Mid Cap CAD IndexMSCI EAFE® Investable Market Index, MSCI Emerging Markets Investable Market Index
Bonds FTSE Canada Universe Bond IndexFTSE Canada Universe Bond Index and others
Underlying indices tracked by TGRO and XGRO

So sure, the indices are different, but is it really a big deal? Doing a bit of digging I can confidently say that:

  • On the Canadian Equity front, TGRO’s holdings are more broad and include smaller stocks.
  • On the US Equity front, the opposite is true — XGRO holds more smaller US stocks
  • On the International Equity front, XGRO has exposure to Emerging markets that TGRO lacks
  • On the bond front, XGRO includes non-Canadian holdings, so a bit more diversified

Are any of these differences of great significance? No idea. Doubtful. TGRO has a recent small (0.5%) advantage, which is still worth digging in to. I took a look at the underlying assets…It’s easiest to do that by looking at the ETFs that underpin TGRO, one by one (TPU, TTP and TTE). XGRO’s product page shows the underlying assets so you don’t have to do the same (tedious) exercise for it.

Top CAD EquityTop US EquityTop Int’l Equity
TEQT/TGRO/TBALRBC, Shopify, TD, Enbridge, BrookfieldMicrosoft, NVIDIA, Apple, Amazon, MetaSAP, ASML, Nestle, Novo Nordisk, Roche
XEQT/XGRO/XBALRBC, Shopify, TD, Enbridge, BrookfieldMicrosoft, NVIDIA, Apple, Amazon, MetaTaiwan Semi, SAP, ASML, Nestle, Novo Nordisk
Top stock holdings, by asset category, for TGRO and XGRO

Hmph. Almost the same. I guess the difference is really coming down to an advantageous geographic mix for TBAL over XBAL, which may or may not be repeated. As compared to TBAL, XBAL’s greater focus on equities outside North America hurt its performance in the last 5 years.

All this to say that TGRO/TBAL look like fine products, with no real reason not to recommend them. For me, one small complexity with TGRO is its bond allocation, which is lower than XGRO’s, meaning that to keep my usual 20% bond allocation, I would have to either buy a standalone bond fund or buy a TEQT/TBAL combo (a 50/50 ratio works, I did the math).

Perhaps you’ll start to see some of these funds in my monthly update — stay tuned!

  1. I wouldn’t normally do this, especially since the funds don’t have a long history, but in this case I see that the TD funds use obscure (to me) indices so I want to quickly see if there’s a major difference in return. ↩︎
  2. XGRO is the mainstay of the CAD portion of my retirement portfolio and TGRO looks to be the same thing. ↩︎
  3. You may wonder if this is really a valid comparison since what I actually care about is TGRO versus XGRO. I think it is a valid comparison since TBAL and XBAL are still relying on the same underlying indices to build their respective funds, it’s just that the percentages vary. That’s pretty much how most all-in-ones approach the problem of building multiple risk levels: take a set of ingredients (the indicies) and mix them in different ratios to get to the final all-in-one product. It’s really a test to see if TBAL’s indices are somehow “better” than XBAL’s. ↩︎

News: Wealthsimple AirPod promotion

Source: https://www.wealthsimple.com/en-ca/airpods

Wealthsimple is once again looking for new clients, or new investments from existing clients. Register by June 16, 2025, transfer $25000 or more within 30 days of registering, and receive an AirPod reward. If you prefer cash, the promotion website spells out the value:

  • Move $25k to $50k: $150 reward
  • Move $50k to $100k: $200 reward
  • Move $100k to $200k: $450 reward
  • Move $200k+: $900 reward

So not exactly a king’s ransom being offered here, but free money is free money.

The promotion registration ends June 16, 2025.

If you’re interested and want to send a little love my way, you can use my referral code: https://wealthsimple.com/invite/WOWQT1.

I’m an existing client and it’s a provider I would recommend.

News: Deal for DIY Retirement Planning

Disclaimer: I get nothing from pointing out this deal, and I haven’t used the product below myself. But all the same, it might be of possible interest to readers of this blog.

“Cashflows and Portfolios” is one of my top places to get advice. (It’s listed along with other great resources, in the blogroll).

Along with great (and free) advice, the folks behind the blog offer for-fee retirement planning services. But they do have one twist for the hard-core DIYer: they offer access to retirement projection software so you can do your own projections. (Looks like they use Adviice — just like a lot of planners do).

Anyway, their latest newsletter indicates that they’ve lowered the price of their DIY retirement planning service and are offering an additional 10% off. You can get all the details here.

I do recommend paying for some kind of retirement planning service; I did it and it gave me the confidence to set my retirement plan in motion 2 years earlier than I first anticipated. You can read about how I came to the decision to “pull the plug” here.