Tag: aoa

snowball toss in los penitentes mendoza

Review: Snowball Analytics

RobHLeave a comment

Snowball Analytics (link here) is a tool that markets itself as a “Simple and Powerful Portfolio Tracker” with “automated dividend tracking”.

I don’t remember when or where I first kicked the tires of this tool but I figured I’d give it another look. I’m only using the free version of Snowball, since my multi-asset tracker tracks my portfolio and also I don’t really care about dividends.

Startup

Snowball gives you full access to all its feature set for 2 weeks so you can really see if it’s worth paying for. That’s a plus in my view. But even the free version allows you to manually create a single portfolio with up to 10 holdings in it. All the paid-for versions include direct connection to your brokerage, and the ones I’m most familiar with (Questrade and Wealthsimple) are both supported.

For fun, I created a public portfolio that’s sort-of1 based on the percentages in my June 2026 portfolio update. You can see it here. What you see on these public portfolio pages is similar, but not identical, to the screens shown if you create your own login.

Dashboard

Gives a high level overview of what’s going on in the portfolio: what it’s worth, how much you made today/all time, and, atypically, Passive Income aka yield.

One weird thing Snowball does is insist on putting your assets into “Categories” which you can define yourself or let it assign them automatically. It doesn’t really know what to do with ETFs and so it classifies them all as “Funds”, which is about as helpful a category as “Unclassified”. I flagged this with support, but I don’t really expect much. If you click through the pie charts, it does show what’s underneath, so this is mostly a cosmetic issue.

Pie Chart, like the one I show every month

Also shown on the dashboard are the timing and predicted value of future dividend payments, which is nice.

Future passive income from dividends shown on the Dashboard

Dividend tracking

Here we see what Snowball’s focus is. The dividend screen is quite comprehensive, and will warm the heart of the dividend-focused investor. I can’t really comment if the numbers presented on this screen are sufficient for that audience. My portfolio focus is on absolute growth, and I’m completely indifferent as to whether that growth comes from dividends or unit price appreciation. 

Anyway, I’m happy to hear whether others out there find this sort of dividend analysis useful, let me know at comments@moneyengineer.ca!

Analytics

Here you have a bunch of views of the makeup and performance of your loaded portfolio. For the holder of all-in-one ETFs, these pages are a mixed bag of helpful and not-helpful. On some screens, Snowball isn’t able to look deeply enough into what’s actually inside an all-in-one and thus produces unhelpful results. For example, I know my portfolio is 80% equity. Snowball has other ideas, especially when it comes to Canadian ETFs:

Asset class distribution has obvious problems

There’s problems here:

  • XGRO/XEQT/HXT are missing asset classes. Their percentages don’t add up to 100%
  • A lot of Canadian all-in-one ETF asset classes are classified as “Other”, which is wrong. XGRO (for example) should line up exactly as AOA does, with 80% stocks and 20% bonds, more or less. For XGRO, the bond percentage is right, but the other 80% is suspect.
  • XIC/VFV/HXT are 100% Canadian equity, but Snowball seems lost here.

The performance widget seems to be a lot better; here you can backtest your portfolio against a bunch of benchmarks. Unfortunately, none of the included benchmarks includes bonds, but you can see how my portfolio stacks up against a global equity pool, namely the MSCI World index:

Growth charts are helpful to see how your portfolio compares to a benchmark

I did see a few problems here, too:

  • Not all of my portfolio holdings have been around for (for example) 5 years. So how is the tool generating 5 year return charts?
  • When you select “all” as a timeframe, my portfolio shows a one year performance. Puzzling.

The fact that my portfolio lags the MSCI World is unsurprising since my portfolio has 20% bonds, and the MSCI World has none. Bonds add stability to a portfolio at the expense of growth. Sometimes I wonder if that stability is really worth it.

Conclusion

Snowball, like many tools, struggles with understanding what’s actually inside an all-in-one ETF like XEQT or XGRO. For me, that sort of shortcoming is a deal-breaker. If you were a holder of individual stocks that cared about passive (dividend) income, it might be worth your time.

What do you think? Let me know at comments@moneyengineer.ca!

  1. “sort of” because I have more than 10 holdings in my portfolio. I got most of them, and scaled it to start as a 100k CAD portfolio. ↩︎

a person is holding a package with their hands

What companies are in my retirement portfolio?

RobH1 Comment

I cover what I hold in my retirement portfolio every month (latest update is here), but as you can see, I only hold ETFs. What’s underneath the ETFs? Let’s take a look!

Calculating this is straightforward:

  1. Use the percentages I have of each ETF from the June update
  2. Look at the “Holdings” section of ETF or in the case of AOA/XGRO/XEQT, “Aggregate Underlying Holdings”1 and write down the percentages of each stock. I stopped when I accounted for 20% of each ETF.
  3. Multiply (1) by (2) and add them all up.

By doing this exercise, I can now account for the 20 companies that make up 20% of my retirement portfolio:

These 20 companies are really the tip of my personal investment iceberg — my aggregate retirement portfolio has at least 32,000 holdings, since that’s what’s actually inside AOA, the one ETF I own with the most holdings2. But the fate of these 20 companies will have an outsized influence on the overall performance of the portfolio. The only surprise for me is that there is only one company outside North America in the list. I would have expected one or two more.

It will be interesting to see what kind of differences I see once I complete kicking USD out of my retirement portfolio and go back to a list of only seven magnificent ETFs. I’m not sure there will be big changes, given that I’m keeping my asset allocations constant throughout, but I’m expecting some differences3. We’ll see come January 2027, I guess.

Just for fun, and given my recent article on the SpaceX IPO, I wanted to know how much I held of that particular company. AOA hasn’t included it yet4, but XGRO and XEQT have already. As of June 30, 0.02% of my portfolio is invested in SpaceX.

  1. In most cases, as of June 30. VFV only shows to May 30. ↩︎
  2. XGRO has 22000, for reference. I think the extras in AOA come mostly from fixed income (bond) products since they have broader geographic coverage. ↩︎
  3. The biggest changes won’t be visible since they occur in the bond side of my holdings. AOA and XGRO have very different approaches to this part of the market, but as it’s only 15% of my retirement holdings, they don’t show up as a “top” holding in my retirement portfolio . ↩︎
  4. And won’t until SpaceX is profitable. AOA includes IVV, which is an S&P 500 index fund, and the S&P 500 requires companies to be profitable before inclusion in that index. ↩︎

variety of cookies in a box

What’s in my retirement portfolio (June 2026)?

RobH1 Comment

This is a monthly look at what’s in my retirement portfolio. The original post is here.

Portfolio Construction

The retirement portfolio is spread across a bunch of accounts:

  • 5 RRIF accounts
    • 3 for me (Questrade, Wealthsimple)
    • 2 for my spouse (Questrade)
  • 2 TFSA accounts (Questrade)
  • 4 non-registered accounts, (1 for me, 1 for my spouse, 2 joint, all at Questrade)

The view post-payday

I pay myself monthly in retirement, so that’s a good trigger to update this post. On June 30 before the markets opened, this is what it looked like:

The portfolio is dominated by my ETF all-stars, (and if not an all-star, they are probably on the Magnificent Seven ETFs list). But the observant reader will start to see some changes from last month as my strategy to Kick USD out of my retirement portfolio starts to take effect. The contributions of AOA and ICSH (both USD funds) to my retirement portfolio are notably down and SCHF has disappeared entirely — SCHF was the last bit of USD in my non-registered accounts. ZMMK, XGRO and VCN, on the other hand, have gained in importance to make up for the USD-denominated departures. And ZST (ultra short-term bond fund) and VFV (S&P 500 US Index fund) have begun to make an appearance; you’ll see more of these funds in future months. My ETF all-stars post has been updated accordingly.

Plan for the next month

The asset-class split looks like this; you can read about my asset-allocation approach to investing over here.

The moves I made to start reducing USD in my portfolio have quickly allowed me to get to my recently revised target allocations I have for each asset class:

  • 5% cash or cash-like holdings like ICSH and ZMMK
  • 15% bonds/income (most are buried in XGRO and AOA, rest are in XCB)
  • 23% Canadian equity (mostly based on ETFs that mirror the S&P/TSX — HXT and XIC); this is up from the old 20% target
  • 37% US equity (dominated by ETFs that mirror the S&P 500); this is up 1% from the old target
  • 20% International equity (mostly, but not exclusively, developed markets); this is down 4% from the old target

With the asset class splits under control, next month will see more moves to get rid of USD in my portfolio. There’s only USD in my RRIF accounts now, all invested in AOA and ICSH. These positions will be reduced by 1/6th in July as my target is to be fully USD free by the end of the year.

My timing for starting the conversion looks to have been pretty decent; the USD/CAD rate moved significantly in my favour this month. I don’t expect that to last!

Overall

Part of using VPW1 as a strategy is the need to calculate your retirement net worth on a monthly basis. And once again, a new all-time high:

My VPW-calculated salary continues to increase, albeit at a more modest rate, as expected.

  1. Variable Percentage Withdrawal, my chosen decumulation strategy. ↩︎
dollar cut in half

Kicking USD out of my retirement portfolio

RobH1 Comment

After much consideration, I’ve decided that holding USD-denominated assets during retirement is no longer a good idea. I have been struggling with this question for a while now.

There are a few reasons why I’ve reached this conclusion:

  • I no longer spend USD. I have two credit cards1 that allow me to avoid foreign exchange fees.
  • Complexity. The USD in my RRIF accounts needs to be converted periodically since withdrawals are in CAD. The USD in my non-registered account might eventually lead me to have to file a T1135, and I hate new tax wrinkles. And of course the USD funds add to the universe of funds I have to manage in all the accounts. Fewer is better!
  • Choice. Without USD in my portfolio, the universe of DIY brokers opens up2 and the number of accounts I have to have is also reduced34.

The fluctuating CAD/USD FX rate might be another reason, but that hasn’t really bothered me. In the long term, it’s reasonably stable.

So how to go about doing it, and what impacts will this have? Let’s take a look.

General considerations

So of course, the only real way to convert USD into CAD at Questrade is to use Norbert’s Gambit. Performing the Gambit is a multi-day activity:

  • Day 1: Sell the USD asset and buy DLR.U with the proceeds; make journaling request to convert DLR.U into DLR
  • Day 2: Wait for settlement of trades made on day 1
  • Day 3: Wait for journaling to complete
  • Day 4: Wait for journaling to complete
  • Day 5: Sell DLR and buy CAD-listed assets to replace what I sold on day 1

Each time I do this exercise, it makes me a little leery since

  • I have to pay $9.95 plus GST to journal the shares on Questrade (not a huge deal, but as you have read elsewhere on the blog, I am a cheapskate)
  • I’m out of the market for 3 days. I really hate being out of the market since big moves can happen over short periods of time. Of course, this cuts both ways; I could miss a big rally or a big meltdown as a result5.
  • I’m making a bet on favourable FX rates. FX rates don’t typically swing much in short periods of time, but since over 50% of my retirement portfolio is in USD I’m not willing to try to find the “right” time to make such a trade.

As a result, I’ve made the decision to

  • Sell off 1/6th of my USD portfolio every month for the next six months (or thereabouts). This will allow me to smooth out any FX speed bumps and limits how much of my portfolio is idle at any one time.
  • Take advantage of a free month of Questrade Plus6 and do a few journaling requests during this month and save a few bucks

While doing all of this, I’m trying to be mindful of my asset allocation targets which are (newly set as a result of my analysis at Are my portfolio’s asset allocation targets “correct”?)

  • 5% Cash
  • 15% Bonds
  • 23% Canadian Equity
  • 37% US Equity
  • 20% International Equity

I’ll try to start moving my portfolio to these new targets as I make this shift, but given the targets are brand new, I’m in no particular time constraints; I’m expecting the portfolio to slowly move from the old targets to the new ones, finally landing at some point later in 2026.

Kicking USD out of my RRIF accounts

Of the 5 RRIF accounts I have in the household (three for me, two for my spouse), only two of them have USD in it, and the USD portion is 100% invested in either AOA (an 80/20 all-in-one global equity fund) or ICSH (an ultra short-term bond fund that stands in for cash)

AOA can be replaced with XGRO but it’s not an exact replacement. AOA has almost no Canadian Equity content and a higher US Equity content than XGRO. This means that a one-to-one switch will cause my Canadian Equity content to increase and my US content to decrease. I’m expecting this will eventually cause me to need to replace some of my AOA with a pure play US Equity asset. I’ve chosen VFV since it mirrors the S&P 500, an index that won’t be adding the mega-IPOs any time soon 🙂

ICSH can be replaced with ZMMK since they are similar in nature, but I’m not going to do that. Why? Because I hold ZMMK in my non-registered account as a VPW cash cushion, I do make trades in ZMMK from time to time. I don’t want to end up in a situation where I’m selling ZMMK in my non registered account and buying it in my RRIF, since this could deprive me of possible (small) capital losses — CRA does not look kindly on trying to “artificially” generate capital losses in this way.

So after mulling it over a bit, I’ve decided to replace ICSH in my RRIF accounts with ZST. It’s a short term bond fund which is a bit riskier than ZMMK7, but I’m counting on it being cash-like for my purposes. Neither has been around all that long, but it appears they are pretty close on the performance front with a slight edge for ZST.

So when all is said and done, my RRIFs should have three holdings: XGRO (mostly), VFV (some), ZST (about 2.5% of overall portfolio),

Kicking USD out of my non-registered accounts

Here there are two holdings

  • ICSH in my VPW cash cushion account
  • SCHF, an international equity fund I’ve held for years and years

The ICSH replacement is easy — move it to ZMMK. I’ll do that all at once. It will mean a loss of over a percentage point in gains at the moment, but this is the price of simplicity, I guess.

The SCHF sale is a bit like selling 6 months of RRIF payments all at once, which will attract a capital gain. I’m ok with that, but I’d prefer to avoid more capital gains for the rest of the year (I didn’t budget for that when I tried to work out my likely tax bill for 2026). Since selling SCHF is actually helpful in getting my new asset allocation targets right, I don’t need to replace it with another International Equity fund. My calculations tell me that I’ll probably need to replace it with a Canadian Equity fund. Here I’ve chosen to use VCN since it uses a different index provider8 and would be considered different from my other non-registered Canadian equity funds, namely XIC and HXT9. Buying VCN and selling it in subsequent months to fund my retirement salary should result in minimal capital gains for the remainder of the year.

So when all is said and done, the VPW cash cushion account should be 100% ZMMK and the other non registered account will be 100% CAD-listed ETFs, mostly tied up in Canadian Equity.

You’ll be able to see my progress in my next instalment of What’s in my retirement portfolio (May 2026) which I should have ready at the end of this month!

  1. Rogers Mastercard and Wealthsimple Visa, as detailed in What are the best credit cards? ↩︎
  2. e.g. Wealthsimple does not currently (June 2026) support USD RRIF accounts. ↩︎
  3. e.g. QTrade USD accounts are always separated from CAD accounts. So instead of 4 RRIF accounts, I could have 8 at QTrade. Painful. ↩︎
  4. I guess that’s actually a “reduce complexity” argument. Don’t tell anybody. ↩︎
  5. https://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewtopic.php?t=370885 shows me that my fears are unfounded. It’s practically a normal distribution. ↩︎
  6. A subscription service offered by Questrade to give you free journaling. And other things I don’t really care about. ↩︎
  7. Average duration is longer, which makes its price more sensitive to changes in the overall interest rate environment. ↩︎
  8. FTSE Canada all cap rather than S&P/TSX for the others ↩︎
  9. And therefore avoids CRA’s superficial loss rules ↩︎

rocket launch space discovery

SpaceX and index investing

RobHLeave a comment

This Friday (June 12, 2026) SpaceX (which, as it turns out, doesn’t just make rockets — it also encompasses Starlink and Twitter — er, X) will launch its mega-IPO. It’s expected to immediately become a top 10 company in terms of market capitalization, putting it in the same stratosphere as Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft.

There’s a lot of chatter over how (and even if) this will impact the boring old index investor. It might help to review what the major US Indices are. The major US indices1 that show up again and again in ETFs are

  • S&P 500 — this is the index used by ETFs like VFV, XSP, ZSP and HXS
  • S&P Total — this is used by XEQT/XGRO2 and AOA3
  • Nasdaq 100… includes ETFs like XQQ, ZQQ, HXQ4
  • The Solactive US Large Cap Index5: TPU aka TEQT
  • CRSP US Total Market Index — VUN, VUS and VEQT for example

The ETFs that track indices don’t have discretion over when or if to include a stock in their ETF. When the index changes, so does the ETF. It’s totally mechanical. The indices also have published rules on how and when to include stocks, but because SpaceX is anticipated to be so exceptionally large, there was pressure on the index providers to tweak their rules to make sure SpaceX was included. If you’re keeping score, only Nasdaq made changes to accommodate SpaceX. S&P did not.

After much anticipation, here’s the state of play as of June 9, 2026:

IndexSpaceX included when?How much?
S&P 500 (VFV, XSP, ZSP, HXS)>1 year from now6Float-adjusted, as usual
S&P Total (XEQT/XGRO, AOA)Once 10% float achieved…a quarter or two?Float-adjusted, as usual7
Nasdaq 100 (XQQ, ZQQ, HXQ, QQQ)Shortly after IPO…15 trading daysBased on full market cap, as usual
Solactive US Large Cap (TPU, TEQT)Next quarterly reviewFloat-adjusted
CRSP (VUN, VUS, VEQT)Shortly after IPO…5 trading daysFloat-adjusted

Many of the indices use the float-adjusted amounts; this means a lower weighting for SpaceX than its full market-cap, which means a lower weight in any index that uses float. In the coming months, I’ll take a peek at how much SpaceX I hold, and how it’s changing, just for my own education.

So, for me, it looks like I’ll be owning some SpaceX in the not-too-distant future since the vast majority of my US holdings are in XEQT/XGRO/AOA. And, the odds are, it will lose value post IPO. That kinda sucks.

Of course, as BMO correctly points out, nobody will be immune from this kind of market movement — why, you may ask? Given SpaceX is going to be included in the popular Nasdaq 100, funds that mirror this index are going to have to make room for the new arrival, selling off shares of things they already hold, like Nvidia, and Microsoft. This will create downward pressure on the prices of these tech stocks, and hence it will also create downward pressure on any ETF that also holds Nvidia, and Microsoft. The S&P 500 holds many of the Nasdaq 100 companies, so you can expect some price erosion of ETFs mirroring the S&P indices as the Nasdaq ETFs do their rebalancing act.

In the grand scheme of things, I don’t think I really care. I don’t love SpaceX, or any other stock for that matter. The S&P indices have historically rewarded the patient investor, and I see no reason to change my strategy based on one IPO, no matter how splashy. It won’t be the last — both Anthropic and OpenAI are probably close behind with their IPOs.

  1. The small cap Russell 2000 is also popular, but I don’t mention it in the main list since SpaceX is too big to be a small cap ↩︎
  2. This is a CAD ETF and holds things beyond “just” the S&P index. See more here. ↩︎
  3. This is a USD ETF, and holds things beyond just the S&P index. See more here. ↩︎
  4. The most famous Nasdaq 100 ETF trades in USD and is QQQ. This would explain the not-very-original names chosen by the Canadian management companies. ↩︎
  5. I think only TD uses this one, but since I’ve written about TEQT in the past, I figured I’d include it. ↩︎
  6. and likely longer, since there is a profitability screen imposed as well for inclusion in the S&P 500 ↩︎
  7. Over time, the size of the SpaceX float is expected to increase as insiders unload their shares; the timing of this is not known. I’d expect the SpaceX % to increase over the first year of inclusion on the S&P Total index. ↩︎