rocket launch space discovery

SpaceX and index investing

This Friday (June 12, 2026) SpaceX (which, as it turns out, doesn’t just make rockets — it also encompasses Starlink and Twitter — er, X) will launch its mega-IPO. It’s expected to immediately become a top 10 company in terms of market capitalization, putting it in the same stratosphere as Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft.

There’s a lot of chatter over how (and even if) this will impact the boring old index investor. It might help to review what the major US Indices are. The major US indices1 that show up again and again in ETFs are

  • S&P 500 — this is the index used by ETFs like VFV, XSP, ZSP and HXS
  • S&P Total — this is used by XEQT/XGRO2 and AOA3
  • Nasdaq 100… includes ETFs like XQQ, ZQQ, HXQ4
  • The Solactive US Large Cap Index5: TPU aka TEQT
  • CRSP US Total Market Index — VUN, VUS and VEQT for example

The ETFs that track indices don’t have discretion over when or if to include a stock in their ETF. When the index changes, so does the ETF. It’s totally mechanical. The indices also have published rules on how and when to include stocks, but because SpaceX is anticipated to be so exceptionally large, there was pressure on the index providers to tweak their rules to make sure SpaceX was included. If you’re keeping score, only Nasdaq made changes to accommodate SpaceX. S&P did not.

After much anticipation, here’s the state of play as of June 9, 2026:

IndexSpaceX included when?How much?
S&P 500 (VFV, XSP, ZSP, HXS)>1 year from now6Float-adjusted, as usual
S&P Total (XEQT/XGRO, AOA)Once 10% float achieved…a quarter or two?Float-adjusted, as usual7
Nasdaq 100 (XQQ, ZQQ, HXQ, QQQ)Shortly after IPO…15 trading daysBased on full market cap, as usual
Solactive US Large Cap (TPU, TEQT)Next quarterly reviewFloat-adjusted
CRSP (VUN, VUS, VEQT)Shortly after IPO…5 trading daysFloat-adjusted

Many of the indices use the float-adjusted amounts; this means a lower weighting for SpaceX than its full market-cap, which means a lower weight in any index that uses float. In the coming months, I’ll take a peek at how much SpaceX I hold, and how it’s changing, just for my own education.

So, for me, it looks like I’ll be owning some SpaceX in the not-too-distant future since the vast majority of my US holdings are in XEQT/XGRO/AOA. And, the odds are, it will lose value post IPO. That kinda sucks.

Of course, as BMO correctly points out, nobody will be immune from this kind of market movement — why, you may ask? Given SpaceX is going to be included in the popular Nasdaq 100, funds that mirror this index are going to have to make room for the new arrival, selling off shares of things they already hold, like Nvidia, and Microsoft. This will create downward pressure on the prices of these tech stocks, and hence it will also create downward pressure on any ETF that also holds Nvidia, and Microsoft. The S&P 500 holds many of the Nasdaq 100 companies, so you can expect some price erosion of ETFs mirroring the S&P indices as the Nasdaq ETFs do their rebalancing act.

In the grand scheme of things, I don’t think I really care. I don’t love SpaceX, or any other stock for that matter. The S&P indices have historically rewarded the patient investor, and I see no reason to change my strategy based on one IPO, no matter how splashy. It won’t be the last — both Anthropic and OpenAI are probably close behind with their IPOs.

  1. The small cap Russell 2000 is also popular, but I don’t mention it in the main list since SpaceX is too big to be a small cap ↩︎
  2. This is a CAD ETF and holds things beyond “just” the S&P index. See more here. ↩︎
  3. This is a USD ETF, and holds things beyond just the S&P index. See more here. ↩︎
  4. The most famous Nasdaq 100 ETF trades in USD and is QQQ. This would explain the not-very-original names chosen by the Canadian management companies. ↩︎
  5. I think only TD uses this one, but since I’ve written about TEQT in the past, I figured I’d include it. ↩︎
  6. and likely longer, since there is a profitability screen imposed as well for inclusion in the S&P 500 ↩︎
  7. Over time, the size of the SpaceX float is expected to increase as insiders unload their shares; the timing of this is not known. I’d expect the SpaceX % to increase over the first year of inclusion on the S&P Total index. ↩︎

What’s in my non-registered portfolio? (Oct 2025)

Every month, I try to share with you what’s in my overall retirement portfolio (September 2025 post is here). That retirement portfolio is actually distributed over a bunch of accounts held by me and my spouse and includes RRIFs, TFSAs and non-registered accounts. This is what it looks like at the moment:

Retirement savings as of October 1, 2025 by account type

(My multi-asset tracker is a handy tool to help you quickly create charts that look like the above one).

My current strategy for these three account types looks like this:

  • RRIF: This is 100% invested in my ETF all-stars. I’m currently withdrawing RRIF minimum payments for two main reasons:
    • To avoid problems with attribution. I cover that topic over here.
    • To avoid withholding tax. RRIF minimum payments don’t attract withholding tax, but I am setting aside some of my payments to deal with the unavoidable tax bill come April 2026. I talked about that topic over here.
  • TFSA: This is mostly invested in the ETF all-stars, but there’s a few stragglers in here1 that I really ought to get rid of. Nothing wrong with the funds in there, but it’s a needless complexity. The TFSA continues to get new funds since it’s hard to beat tax-free growth, and I only buy all-stars with those funds. It will get drawn down last in my retirement planning.
  • Non-registered accounts: Here it’s a bit of a dog’s breakfast, with very little invested in the all-stars, mostly because most of the equity found here was bought long ago, and changing what I hold would attract capital gains that I would prefer to take on my own terms. It’s where the majority of my early-retirement decumulation takes place.

Here’s what that breakfast looks like:

What’s in my non-registered portfolio, October 2025

Here’s a look at each holding, from highest to lowest percentage.

HXT: This is a Canadian equity ETF that does not pay dividends, instead using some wizardry to bury it all in the per-unit price of the ETF. This simplifies taxes, and I have held this fund for a long time. Due to increasing costs of this ETF, it’s among the first to get liquidated as I need funds.

XIC: Canadian equity fund, very popular. I think I bought it to create a bit of dividend income. It will get liquidated after the Horizons funds go (HXS, HXT, HXDM).

SCHF: A very low-cost international equity2 fund in USD that I’ve held for a very long time. It’s funds like SCHF that attracted me to investing in USD, which, at present, adds a lot of complexity.

ICSH: This is one of the all-stars. It is what my VPW cash cushion is invested in3. I use ICSH more than ZMMK in the cash cushion because US interest rates are quite a bit higher than Canadian rates at the moment. I talked about that here.

HXS: Same idea as HXT, except it invests in the S&P 500. This one is held only by my spouse who is still working for a living, so this will just stick around a while, until she stops working and can take on the capital gains.

VSC: A bond fund held by my spouse. I may sell this to harvest some capital gains losses.

HXDM: Same idea as HXT, except international equity. It is on the list to liquidate.

ZMMK: An all-star, held in the same account as ICSH.

The rest (XEQT, TEQT, XGRO) are all new arrivals in the portfolio, purchased using dividends4 from the other funds as well as the bonus payments I keep collecting from Questrade for switching to them.

My non-registered accounts are only a small portion of my retirement holdings, but there’s a fair bit of complexity there. Over time, these accounts will go to zero other than the cash cushion portion (ZMMK, ICSH or whatever replacements I discover) which will remain as long as VPW is my decumulation strategy.

  1. Mostly pure Canadian equity funds. This is to offset AOA that has next-to-no Canadian equity component. ↩︎
  2. 0.03% MER. Cheap! ↩︎
  3. VPW = Variable Percentage Withdrawal, an absolutely brilliant strategy for making sure you don’t run out of money in retirement and don’t leave a lot on the table. Read all about it here. ↩︎
  4. With all ETF trades being free, I hold very little actual cash in any of my accounts. ↩︎

What’s in my RESP portfolio?

As summer shifts into fall, I’m reminded that it’s back-to-school time. Or “Dad, I need money for tuition” time. I still have kids attending higher education, still making withdrawals from the family RESP we set up shortly after the birth of son #1, almost 25 years (!) ago now. RESP investing is a bit different from retirement investing given the (hopefully) shorter timelines of RESP investing1. Here’s how I approach it.

In the early days of the RESP, the contributions were invested in mutual funds; these were dark days, long before the rise of very cheap ETFs. Mutual funds were the ONLY way to make routine contributions (which I made, monthly, without fail — Pay Yourself First and all that). I had an 80/20 mix of equities and bonds in the first 18 years or so of its existence: 4 funds, one for US Equity, one for Canadian equity, one for international equity and one for bonds. I don’t remember the specifics of which ones and what percentages exactly. But the fund kept growing, thanks to market returns as well as CESG grant money, which I took full advantage of2!

As son #1 came close to entering post-secondary studies, I shifted the portfolio to a 60/40 mix using individual ETFs like HXS for US Equities, HXT for Canadian Equities, HXDM for International Equities, and CBO for Bonds. The GlobalX funds didn’t throw off dividends3 and so I just had to deal with the periodic (monthly) distributions of CBO, which ultimately were set to DRIP4.

I made the decision to move to 60/40 over 80/20 to preserve a bit more of the capital in the event of some kind of market meltdown5. Growth gets curtailed somewhat as a result, but there’s less volatility.

But I finally realized that all of this was completely unnecessary thanks to all-in-one ETFs. So now, the RESP has exactly ONE holding — XBAL, an all-in-one from iShares that takes care of the 60/40 split for me. And this is set to DRIP as well, so every quarter the RESP picks up a few more XBAL shares.

You can see how XBAL has preformed over the past 15 years or so. I’m comparing it to the 80/20 XGRO ETF from the same family, one that features prominently in my ETF All-Stars page6:

In a future post, I’ll explain how I fairly divide the RESP among my two sons — in essence, I pretended that the RESP was a mutual fund, with each son receiving the same number of units on the day the first withdrawal was made. Withdrawals are henceforth made in units, not dollars, and the unit price fluctuates with the value of the RESP.

How are you managing your RESP? Let me know at comments@moneyengineer.ca.

  1. Less time to build wealth, shorter runway for decumulation ↩︎
  2. As a certified cheapskate, it’s hard for me to resist free money of any kind. ↩︎
  3. They are “corporate class” ETFs that use a clever structure to avoid paying out dividends; all growth is buried in the increase of the ETF’s price. I still hold some of these in my non-registered accounts. ↩︎
  4. Dividend Reinvestment Plan. Instead of getting cash in the RESP account, the DRIP buys additional shares of whatever generated the dividend in the first place. ↩︎
  5. One may ask why I chose to stick with 80/20 in retirement, which is against some conventional wisdom. I figured that the RESP decumulation phase would be over a much shorter time period (say 5-10 years) and so I would be less able to wait for a market bounce-back. In retirement, I’m hopeful that decumulation will take much, much longer, and so with 80/20 I have a better chance of outliving my savings. ↩︎
  6. Chart is courtesy http://www.dividendchannel.com, featured on Tools I Use. When I rolled the comparison all the way back to 2007 the 60/40 XBAL actually OUTPERFORMED the (supposedly) more risky XGRO. Can’t explain that one. ↩︎