Tag: s&p

dollar cut in half

Kicking USD out of my retirement portfolio

RobH3 Comments

After much consideration, I’ve decided that holding USD-denominated assets during retirement is no longer a good idea. I have been struggling with this question for a while now.

There are a few reasons why I’ve reached this conclusion:

  • I no longer spend USD. I have two credit cards1 that allow me to avoid foreign exchange fees.
  • Complexity. The USD in my RRIF accounts needs to be converted periodically since withdrawals are in CAD. The USD in my non-registered account might eventually lead me to have to file a T1135, and I hate new tax wrinkles. And of course the USD funds add to the universe of funds I have to manage in all the accounts. Fewer is better!
  • Choice. Without USD in my portfolio, the universe of DIY brokers opens up2 and the number of accounts I have to have is also reduced34.

The fluctuating CAD/USD FX rate might be another reason, but that hasn’t really bothered me. In the long term, it’s reasonably stable.

So how to go about doing it, and what impacts will this have? Let’s take a look.

General considerations

So of course, the only real way to convert USD into CAD at Questrade is to use Norbert’s Gambit. Performing the Gambit is a multi-day activity:

  • Day 1: Sell the USD asset and buy DLR.U with the proceeds; make journaling request to convert DLR.U into DLR
  • Day 2: Wait for settlement of trades made on day 1
  • Day 3: Wait for journaling to complete
  • Day 4: Wait for journaling to complete
  • Day 5: Sell DLR and buy CAD-listed assets to replace what I sold on day 1

Each time I do this exercise, it makes me a little leery since

  • I have to pay $9.95 plus GST to journal the shares on Questrade (not a huge deal, but as you have read elsewhere on the blog, I am a cheapskate)
  • I’m out of the market for 3 days. I really hate being out of the market since big moves can happen over short periods of time. Of course, this cuts both ways; I could miss a big rally or a big meltdown as a result5.
  • I’m making a bet on favourable FX rates. FX rates don’t typically swing much in short periods of time, but since over 50% of my retirement portfolio is in USD I’m not willing to try to find the “right” time to make such a trade.

As a result, I’ve made the decision to

  • Sell off 1/6th of my USD portfolio every month for the next six months (or thereabouts). This will allow me to smooth out any FX speed bumps and limits how much of my portfolio is idle at any one time.
  • Take advantage of a free month of Questrade Plus6 and do a few journaling requests during this month and save a few bucks

While doing all of this, I’m trying to be mindful of my asset allocation targets which are (newly set as a result of my analysis at Are my portfolio’s asset allocation targets “correct”?)

  • 5% Cash
  • 15% Bonds
  • 23% Canadian Equity
  • 37% US Equity
  • 20% International Equity

I’ll try to start moving my portfolio to these new targets as I make this shift, but given the targets are brand new, I’m in no particular time constraints; I’m expecting the portfolio to slowly move from the old targets to the new ones, finally landing at some point later in 2026.

Kicking USD out of my RRIF accounts

Of the 5 RRIF accounts I have in the household (three for me, two for my spouse), only two of them have USD in it, and the USD portion is 100% invested in either AOA (an 80/20 all-in-one global equity fund) or ICSH (an ultra short-term bond fund that stands in for cash)

AOA can be replaced with XGRO but it’s not an exact replacement. AOA has almost no Canadian Equity content and a higher US Equity content than XGRO. This means that a one-to-one switch will cause my Canadian Equity content to increase and my US content to decrease. I’m expecting this will eventually cause me to need to replace some of my AOA with a pure play US Equity asset. I’ve chosen VFV since it mirrors the S&P 500, an index that won’t be adding the mega-IPOs any time soon 🙂

ICSH can be replaced with ZMMK since they are similar in nature, but I’m not going to do that. Why? Because I hold ZMMK in my non-registered account as a VPW cash cushion, I do make trades in ZMMK from time to time. I don’t want to end up in a situation where I’m selling ZMMK in my non registered account and buying it in my RRIF, since this could deprive me of possible (small) capital losses — CRA does not look kindly on trying to “artificially” generate capital losses in this way.

So after mulling it over a bit, I’ve decided to replace ICSH in my RRIF accounts with ZST. It’s a short term bond fund which is a bit riskier than ZMMK7, but I’m counting on it being cash-like for my purposes. Neither has been around all that long, but it appears they are pretty close on the performance front with a slight edge for ZST.

So when all is said and done, my RRIFs should have three holdings: XGRO (mostly), VFV (some), ZST (about 2.5% of overall portfolio),

Kicking USD out of my non-registered accounts

Here there are two holdings

  • ICSH in my VPW cash cushion account
  • SCHF, an international equity fund I’ve held for years and years

The ICSH replacement is easy — move it to ZMMK. I’ll do that all at once. It will mean a loss of over a percentage point in gains at the moment, but this is the price of simplicity, I guess.

The SCHF sale is a bit like selling 6 months of RRIF payments all at once, which will attract a capital gain. I’m ok with that, but I’d prefer to avoid more capital gains for the rest of the year (I didn’t budget for that when I tried to work out my likely tax bill for 2026). Since selling SCHF is actually helpful in getting my new asset allocation targets right, I don’t need to replace it with another International Equity fund. My calculations tell me that I’ll probably need to replace it with a Canadian Equity fund. Here I’ve chosen to use VCN since it uses a different index provider8 and would be considered different from my other non-registered Canadian equity funds, namely XIC and HXT9. Buying VCN and selling it in subsequent months to fund my retirement salary should result in minimal capital gains for the remainder of the year.

So when all is said and done, the VPW cash cushion account should be 100% ZMMK and the other non registered account will be 100% CAD-listed ETFs, mostly tied up in Canadian Equity.

You’ll be able to see my progress in my next instalment of What’s in my retirement portfolio (May 2026) which I should have ready at the end of this month!

  1. Rogers Mastercard and Wealthsimple Visa, as detailed in What are the best credit cards? ↩︎
  2. e.g. Wealthsimple does not currently (June 2026) support USD RRIF accounts. ↩︎
  3. e.g. QTrade USD accounts are always separated from CAD accounts. So instead of 4 RRIF accounts, I could have 8 at QTrade. Painful. ↩︎
  4. I guess that’s actually a “reduce complexity” argument. Don’t tell anybody. ↩︎
  5. https://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewtopic.php?t=370885 shows me that my fears are unfounded. It’s practically a normal distribution. ↩︎
  6. A subscription service offered by Questrade to give you free journaling. And other things I don’t really care about. ↩︎
  7. Average duration is longer, which makes its price more sensitive to changes in the overall interest rate environment. ↩︎
  8. FTSE Canada all cap rather than S&P/TSX for the others ↩︎
  9. And therefore avoids CRA’s superficial loss rules ↩︎

rocket launch space discovery

SpaceX and index investing

RobHLeave a comment

This Friday (June 12, 2026) SpaceX (which, as it turns out, doesn’t just make rockets — it also encompasses Starlink and Twitter — er, X) will launch its mega-IPO. It’s expected to immediately become a top 10 company in terms of market capitalization, putting it in the same stratosphere as Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft.

There’s a lot of chatter over how (and even if) this will impact the boring old index investor. It might help to review what the major US Indices are. The major US indices1 that show up again and again in ETFs are

  • S&P 500 — this is the index used by ETFs like VFV, XSP, ZSP and HXS
  • S&P Total — this is used by XEQT/XGRO2 and AOA3
  • Nasdaq 100… includes ETFs like XQQ, ZQQ, HXQ4
  • The Solactive US Large Cap Index5: TPU aka TEQT
  • CRSP US Total Market Index — VUN, VUS and VEQT for example

The ETFs that track indices don’t have discretion over when or if to include a stock in their ETF. When the index changes, so does the ETF. It’s totally mechanical. The indices also have published rules on how and when to include stocks, but because SpaceX is anticipated to be so exceptionally large, there was pressure on the index providers to tweak their rules to make sure SpaceX was included. If you’re keeping score, only Nasdaq made changes to accommodate SpaceX. S&P did not.

After much anticipation, here’s the state of play as of June 9, 2026:

IndexSpaceX included when?How much?
S&P 500 (VFV, XSP, ZSP, HXS)>1 year from now6Float-adjusted, as usual
S&P Total (XEQT/XGRO, AOA)Once 10% float achieved…a quarter or two?Float-adjusted, as usual7
Nasdaq 100 (XQQ, ZQQ, HXQ, QQQ)Shortly after IPO…15 trading daysBased on full market cap, as usual
Solactive US Large Cap (TPU, TEQT)Next quarterly reviewFloat-adjusted
CRSP (VUN, VUS, VEQT)Shortly after IPO…5 trading daysFloat-adjusted

Many of the indices use the float-adjusted amounts; this means a lower weighting for SpaceX than its full market-cap, which means a lower weight in any index that uses float. In the coming months, I’ll take a peek at how much SpaceX I hold, and how it’s changing, just for my own education.

So, for me, it looks like I’ll be owning some SpaceX in the not-too-distant future since the vast majority of my US holdings are in XEQT/XGRO/AOA. And, the odds are, it will lose value post IPO. That kinda sucks.

Of course, as BMO correctly points out, nobody will be immune from this kind of market movement — why, you may ask? Given SpaceX is going to be included in the popular Nasdaq 100, funds that mirror this index are going to have to make room for the new arrival, selling off shares of things they already hold, like Nvidia, and Microsoft. This will create downward pressure on the prices of these tech stocks, and hence it will also create downward pressure on any ETF that also holds Nvidia, and Microsoft. The S&P 500 holds many of the Nasdaq 100 companies, so you can expect some price erosion of ETFs mirroring the S&P indices as the Nasdaq ETFs do their rebalancing act.

In the grand scheme of things, I don’t think I really care. I don’t love SpaceX, or any other stock for that matter. The S&P indices have historically rewarded the patient investor, and I see no reason to change my strategy based on one IPO, no matter how splashy. It won’t be the last — both Anthropic and OpenAI are probably close behind with their IPOs.

  1. The small cap Russell 2000 is also popular, but I don’t mention it in the main list since SpaceX is too big to be a small cap ↩︎
  2. This is a CAD ETF and holds things beyond “just” the S&P index. See more here. ↩︎
  3. This is a USD ETF, and holds things beyond just the S&P index. See more here. ↩︎
  4. The most famous Nasdaq 100 ETF trades in USD and is QQQ. This would explain the not-very-original names chosen by the Canadian management companies. ↩︎
  5. I think only TD uses this one, but since I’ve written about TEQT in the past, I figured I’d include it. ↩︎
  6. and likely longer, since there is a profitability screen imposed as well for inclusion in the S&P 500 ↩︎
  7. Over time, the size of the SpaceX float is expected to increase as insiders unload their shares; the timing of this is not known. I’d expect the SpaceX % to increase over the first year of inclusion on the S&P Total index. ↩︎

Underlying indices of all-in-ones

RobH1 Comment

(New to asset allocation ETFs aka all-in-ones? Here’s a good place to start.)

Asset allocation ETFs can be purchased from any number of companies. In this article, we look at 4 of the biggest names:

  • TD, with TEQT, TGRO, TBAL et al
  • Blackrock/iShares with XEQT, XGRO, XBAL et al
  • BMO with ZEQT, ZGRO, ZBAL et al
  • Vanguard with VEQT, VGRO, VBAL et al

The blueprint for each of these ETFs are similar: pick Canadian, US, International and (where applicable1) bond indices, pick a target percentage allocation for each slice of the pie, and carry on…

I previously talked about the variations in percentage allocation (the size of the pie slices) between the major funds over here.

But what about the indices that each of the major fund families track? What’s in the pie? Are there significant differences? Here’s a summary of what I found:

TD
iSharesBMO Vanguard
TEQT, TGRO, TBALXEQT, XGRO, XBALZEQT, ZGRO, ZBALVEQT, VGRO, VBAL
CAD EquitySolactive Canada Broad MarketS&P/TSX Capped Composite
S&P/TSX Capped Composite		FTSE Canada All-Cap
US EquitySolactive US Large Cap CAD IndexS&P Total MarketS&P 500
S&P Midcap 400
S&P SmallCap 600
CRSP US Total Market
Int’l EquitySolactive GBS Developed Markets ex North America Large & Mid Cap CADMSCI EAFE® Investable Market, MSCI Emerging Markets Investable MarketMSCI EAFE Index, MSCI Emerging Markets IndexFTSE Developed all-cap, FTSE Emerging all-cap
Bonds FTSE Canada Universe Bond IndexFTSE Canada Universe Bond Index and othersFTSE Canada Universe Bond Index and othersBloomberg Global Aggregate Canadian Float Adjusted Bond

So there is variation in the pie recipes (the underlying indices), but is it really of any significance? At a glance, I wonder how different the offerings from iShares and BMO actually are — the same index providers show up in each. Without looking at what stocks are actually found in each of these, here’s a quick take, simply based on the names of the indices:

  • Canadian Equity: All of these funds hold the broad Canadian market, over three different index providers23. iShares and BMO use a capped index, which, in theory, should limit exposure to the very largest Canadian businesses somewhat.
  • US Equity: Three different index providers seen here (Solactive, S&P and CRSP). TD only holds large US companies, the others hold smaller and midsized US companies. In the last ten years, this has been a winning strategy, but it’s not always been that way.
  • International Equity: Three different index providers: Solactive, MSCI, FTSE. TD excludes emerging markets (e.g. Brazil, Russia, Taiwan, China, India). The others don’t.
  • Bonds: Hard to tell just based on the names, but three of them use the same FTSE index. Vanguard uses a Bloomberg index. So I’ll say that it’s likely that Vanguard’s bond portfolio will look different from the other three.

In a future post, I’ll delve into what the main holdings of each of these funds are in each of these categories to see what differences emerge. And whether these differences actually matter!

  1. This excludes 100% equity funds like XEQT, naturally ↩︎
  2. The “composite” in “Capped Composite” means “all the stocks of the TSX”. ↩︎
  3. Solactive, S&P and FTSE ↩︎

How to read an ETF fact sheet: what’s in a name?

RobHLeave a comment

Summary: The standard ETF fact sheet is 4 pages of information a Canadian ETF provider is required to provide. Here’s some tips about what to look for in a name.

Google AI, which is never wrong, tells me that there are more than 1500 ETFs available for purchase on the Canadian market. For those new-to-DIY-investing1, that can seem a little overwhelming. Most of my retirement holdings are tied up in just two asset-allocation ETFs, but prior to retirement, I enjoyed juggling a bunch of index ETFs to roll my own custom asset allocation that I rebalanced manually.

A good skill to have is to understand some of the basic language used in these fact sheets so you can decide if a given ETF is right for you and your investment objectives.

What’s the name of the ETF?

So much is captured in the full name of a given ETF. There’s key words I look for, and key words that I avoid.

Words I look for: “Index” or maybe “Idx”

An index is a list of assets that comply to a set of rules laid out by the index manager. You can think of an index as a detailed recipe for building a list of stocks or bonds. What’s important is that the index is not invented by the company selling you the ETF. The index is a third-party invention, and any ETF company can make use of the recipe in offering you, the investor, a product to buy. The index is the recipe, and the ETF company is the chef that prepares the dish that you buy. You could become a chef yourself, and buy the individual components of the index on your own. However, since some of the indices are comprised of hundreds or even thousands of assets, not every index is realistic for the home chef to create.

An ETF that uses the word “index” in its name suggests it’s a passive ETF, meaning there’s a skeleton crew of managers making trades based solely on what’s in the index. I like index funds because they are generally cheap, and over time, they beat the active traders2 again and again.

Like the ETF market itself, there has been an explosion in the number of indices3 out there created by the likes of FTSE Russell or MSCI. Knowing the names of some of the most popular indices can help:

  • S&P/TSX 60: Canadian stock market’s largest 60 companies. Canadian ETFs that track this include XIU and ZIU.
  • S&P 500: US Stock market’s largest 500 companies. Canadian ETFs that track this include VFV, ZSP, and XUS.
  • Russell 2000: US Stock market’s next-largest 2000 companies after first dropping the top 10004. A Canadian ETF that uses this index is XSU.
  • MSCI EAFE: Developed country index, excluding USA and Canada. Canadian ETFs that use this index include ZEA and XEF5
  • FTSE Canada Universe Bond Index: A broad set of Canadian corporate and government bonds. Sold as ZAG by BMO and XBB by BlackRock/iShares.

A quick search reveals all kinds of very specific index funds: sector based (e.g. “AI” or “Healthcare”) and country/region based (e.g. “China”, “BRICSA”). I ignore these kinds of funds because betting a sector or a region feels like market timing to me, and market timing is a proven loser in terms of long-term returns.

Words I avoid: “Hedged”

“Hedged” means that the ETF uses some kind of strategy to smooth out the ups and downs in the Canadian dollar’s exchange rate. And on one level, it makes sense: if you buy the S&P500, you’re owning a bunch of US stocks priced in US dollars. If the Canadian dollar gets stronger, then your US holdings are worth less in CAD. If the Canadian dollar gets weaker, then your US holdings are worth more to you in CAD. So some funds try to make this variance go away.

I avoid hedged funds for a few reasons:

  • It adds cost and complexity to the fund, two things I dislike about where I choose to invest.
  • It’s imperfect; while it makes the bumps in the foreign exchange rate get smaller, it would be overly expensive to make them go away completely
  • If you hold an asset long enough and reinvest your dividends, it will be a wash in the end, and the extra cost just creates a drag on your returns. For example, let’s compare XUS versus XSP, which are identical, save for XSP’s use of hedging:
The long term cost of using hedging: XUS vs XSP (hedged)

Words I avoid: “Leveraged” / “Bull” / “Bear”

“Leveraged” means “we’re buying stocks using borrowed money”. And while buying stocks using borrowed money can significantly enhance your returns in an up market, the opposite is true in a down market. No free lunch.

Any ETF that has Bull or Bear in the name is making a bet based on short term returns. Buying scratch tickets at Christmastime is enough gambling for me, and gambling has no place in my retirement strategy.

Summing up

Looking at the name of an ETF is a good starting filter to decide if it’s for you. It’s just one piece of many included in an ETF’s fact sheet.

  1. Tips on how to execute on that decision were the topic of a previous post ↩︎
  2. For example: https://www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/research-insights/spiva/#canada ↩︎
  3. One tip I can offer: if more than one ETF exists offering the index, it’s probably a decent index to consider. Be a bit suspicious if only one company has an ETF that mirrors said index — I’d consider it a bit of a fringe offering, of no interest to me. ↩︎
  4. This is normally seen as a “mid cap” or “small cap” index, meaning “US stocks that aren’t in the S&P 500”. I looked at https://www.marketbeat.com/types-of-stock/russell-2000-stocks/ and the first company I recognized was Duolingo. ↩︎
  5. As an illustration of the insanity regarding the explosion of indices, XEF tracks not MSCI EAFE but MSCI EAFE IMI, which adds a few more smaller companies into the mix. But if you refer to https://www.msci.com/documents/10199/11a56df6-0f09-4477-a168-cce49e1719cd you will see that the long term performance differs by 0.01%. ↩︎